#721
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Quote:
That's interesting, I suppose a cheaper set could have included some boards like from AOTP to keep the cost down, and if someone wants a full set of terrain then they could get the vanguard edition, or a terrain tier (that certainly should have been offered). I agree with them that they needed to price a set around $250 in order to provide something that feels substantial, but that doesn't mean they couldn't offer a smaller set that everyone just understands is only meant as an entry point |
#722
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
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#723
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Quote:
Yeah I think they should have continued daily reveals all throughout the Haslab to keep people checking back in for new information. That would help keep the excitement higher. Showing a new card or two each day all throughout the Haslab, plus designs for future figures and terrain, would have been smart |
#724
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Deleted.
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#725
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
So just to clarify on the OP:
-After the first few days a linear fit predicted AoA WILL FUND -The OP stated this prediction -Recently, the linear trend predicted AoA WILL NOT FUND -OP was changed to reflect this -Trendline was changed from a linear fit to a polynomial fit, which predicts AoA WILL FUND -The OP has not yet been changed to reflect this I'm not a data scientist. I appreciate the discussion and the people putting these skills forward. But it seems like these predictions are pretty whimsical. |
#726
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Quote:
An accurate predictive model would be one that is "trained" on other projects to generate an idea of which projects succeed and which fail. No such model exists--there has only been *one* other boardgame on HasLab and in addition to it being different from this campaign in myriad ways, we also don't have the data for how backer counts changed over time. So there's no way to build a truly accurate model. Just various degrees of inaccurate models. A polynomial model is probably more accurate than a linear one. Maybe. Formerly known as capsocrates -- Remixed Master Sets - challenge yourself with new terrain combinations! -- Colorado Fall 2023 Multiplayer Madness -- caps's Customs Redux - caps's multiplayer maps - caps's maps - Seagate -- Continuing Classic Heroscape: C3V SoV |
#727
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
From this reddit post: https://www.reddit.com/r/Heroquest/c..._to_go_pledge/
Here are the numbers for the first 42 days of the HeroQuest campaign. It ended up at $3,721,000 at the end of day 45. "The overall breakdown for the Haslab crowdfunding daily numbers are as follows: Day 1: $1,000,000 (actually hit 1 million 30min before 24 hours) Day 2: $267,000 in Sales Day 3: $151,000 in Sales Day 4: $102,000 in Sales Day 5: $65,000 in Sales Day 6: $52,500 in Sales Day 7: $39,698 in Sales Day 8: $43,647 in Sales Day 9: $38,097 in Sales Day 10: $34,048 in Sales Day 11: $26,248 in Sales Day 12: $24,049 in Sales Day 13: $21,848 in Sales Day 14: $20,448 in Sales Day 15: $15,799 in Sales Day 16: $19,899 in Sales Day 17: $134,741 in Sales Day 18: $25,445 in Sales Day 19: $19,599 in Sales Day 20: $17,949 in Sales Day 21: $15,399 in Sales Day 22: $14,049 in Sales Day 23: $198,837 in Sales Total sales as of Day 23: $2,347,191 Day 24: (day missed) Day 25: (day missed) Day 26: (total for 24, 25 and 26 = $53,809) to total at $2,401,000 Day 27: $17,836 in Sales Total of $2,418,836 as of 7pm GMT-4 Day 28: $14,899 in sales Total of $2,433,735 as of 7pm GMT-4 Day 29: $63,646 in sales Total of $2,497,381 as of 8:15PM Day 30: $46,297 in sales Total of $2,543,678 as of 8:25PM Day 31: $18,049 in sales Total of $2,561,727 as of 8:25PM Day 32: $17,848 in sales Total of $2,579,575 as of 8:25PM GMT -4 Day 33: $12,950 in sales Total of $2,592,525 as of 8:25PM Day 34: $16,646 in sales Total of $2,609,171 as of 8:25PM Day 35: $20,801 in sales Total of $2,629,972 as of 8:25PM Day 36: $28,648 in sales Total of $2,658,620 as of 8:25PM Day 37: $97,943 in sales Total of $2,756,563 as of 8:25PM Day 38: $36,447 in sales Total of $2,793,010 as of 8:49pm Day 39: $30,398 in sales total of $2,823,408 as of 8:25PM Day 40: $46,197 in sales total of $2,869,605 Pledged as of 8:25PM Day 41: $76,495 in sales total of $2,946,100 pledged as of 8:25PM Day 42: $109,343K in Sales total of $3,055,443 pledged as of 8:30PM" |
#728
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Quote:
Do we know what happened on day 23? |
#729
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Anyone know what happened on day one? We got like $350k that day. A third of the backing with twice the goal. I think that’s why folks started dismaying right away.
C3G can be played with official Heroscape, but it's not recommended.
DISCLAIMER: C3G claims no ownership of the characters or artwork used for C3G customs. All rights for the characters belong to their respective publishers/creators. C3G cards are not intended for sale, and C3G does not authorize any party to profit from C3G cards. |
#730
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
Double the goal of heroquest was crazy to me
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#731
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
deleted
Last edited by Shurrig; October 26th, 2022 at 11:47 PM. |
#732
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Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion
US & Canada release only with an all in approach and total opposite of original game concept (accesible: cheap & prepainted).
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