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  #49  
Old May 3rd, 2020, 01:14 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Right, sorry, I shouldn't have been too lazy to look it up. I hope you're right.

There is no way we're coming this year. It would break my heart if they don't close it, just because I believe it would be precipitously dangerous. But I think it won't happen, and that will be that.

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  #50  
Old May 3rd, 2020, 08:46 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by vegietarian18 View Post
I mean honestly it's really subtle to talk about test rate and anything more advanced than quantity of positives. That really is the meaningful number.



Like here's what you're asking for for Indiana. But I don't know what you really get from this graph in terms of actionable info. Testing exists to help the patients not to create good models of what the future will hold.
The point of number of test that are positive vs percentage of test that are positive is best illustrated in this simple example: Day 1, 100 people are tested and 10 are positive, day 2 1000 people are tested and 50 are positive. Number of positive tests went up 40, but the percentage of positive tests went down from 10% to 5%.

Like every other state, there are people who want the "lock down" to go one indefinitely and others who want everything re-opened now. Neither of the extremes is correct, but the hard part (and I wouldn't want to be an elected official trying to figure this out) is where in the middle is the "right balance". I pray that God grants them the wisdom (and they have the sense to use it) to get it correct.
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  #51  
Old May 3rd, 2020, 08:48 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

I don’t want them to consult with God. I want them to consult with science. But I agree with with you that they should not be deciding arbitrarily.

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  #52  
Old May 3rd, 2020, 10:04 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

I don’t believe he stated he wanted them to consult with God. His comment was that he would pray that God would grant them the wisdom to figure out the correct path.
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  #53  
Old May 3rd, 2020, 11:26 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

I think we all agree that we want them to do what's best for the community, regardless of whether it's praying or consulting. I didn't mean to spark a disagreement.

Edit: just to be clear I was not saying they *shouldn’t* pray. I would never say such a thing. I meant *in addition.* Not instead of. Like the old saying goes, praise the lord and pass the ammunition.

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Last edited by Dad_Scaper; May 4th, 2020 at 02:07 AM.
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  #54  
Old May 4th, 2020, 07:13 AM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Praise the Lord, wear a mask.
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  #55  
Old May 4th, 2020, 08:03 AM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Praise the lord and roll a 20?
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  #56  
Old May 4th, 2020, 09:05 AM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

OK enough of the "Thoughts n Prayers" lets get this train wreck back on the tracks.




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  #57  
Old May 4th, 2020, 09:13 AM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

So question if this thing is delayed to say Fall, how many folks would attend then? IMO for whatever reason more people are willing to take vacation during the summer months. What happens if Walt or Jeter can't make it. Who's going to step up and run the events.

Just curious




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  #58  
Old May 4th, 2020, 12:08 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Well I think less people in general are taking Summer vacations, so if the curve is flattened enough where people can do vacations in Fall I think tons of people would be willing to do so. However the economy has hurt a lot and many people are jobless or have reduced pay so might not be able to afford one in the Fall. No to mention even if there are little cases of COVID19 but a vaccine has not been introduced (still 6 months - a year a way) people would be leery of attending Gencon even if they have a new gas mask every day and carry a gallon of sanitizer with them, there is just too many people to risk and tables and chairs can carry the virus for days. My guess is if the Con was postponed to the fall only 1/3 the normal people would show up (~18-25,000)

For Heroscape, I think if we were in the Colts stadium it is a lot less crowded so Heroscapers might be more willing to go than the general public (still don't know for sure if that is the spot) plus we are generally cleaner than most CCG/CMG players . I know I'd have to think about it seriously and probably would only go if I ran games with DoubleExposure like last time, but I'd be willing to run Heroscape events if needed.
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  #59  
Old May 4th, 2020, 12:10 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by lefton4ya View Post
My guess is if the Con was postponed to the fall only 1/3 the normal people would show up (~18-25,000)

For Heroscape, I think if we were in the Colts stadium it is a lot less crowded
If Gencon were held in the fall and if it had attendance around what you're estimating (big ifs, admittedly), I suspect they would not use Lucas Oil at all since they wouldn't need as much space and that makes the most sense to cut.
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  #60  
Old May 4th, 2020, 12:22 PM
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Re: Gen Con 2020 Whats the over/under ?

At some point (which has already been done by some organizations and companies) all organizers, not just Heroscapers, have to decide if Gen Con is "worth" the risk.

For example what happens if FFG or Paizo or whoever says it's not worth it? How many attendees go only for those specific events or vendors, etc?

It's a super tricky situation if they don't just flat out cancel or postpone.

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