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  #97  
Old November 8th, 2019, 09:18 PM
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Re: Casters of Valhalla

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Originally Posted by Sir Heroscape View Post
I've played many a game against opponents who rolled for drain every time and never failed, royally cleaning my clock. Now, of course that's against odds and they should have failed a time or 2, but the impact of constantly rolling 4 dice (5 from height) while Drain is hot, keep you - generally - well in front of your opponent to the point where even a failed drain won't break the bank.
I think the biggest difference in thinking here is between single-game strategy and tournament-long strategy. Sure, they may win a game or two by draining, but they shouldnít be winning a tournament doing it. Itís functionally impossible to successfully drain all day long, and the failed drains will eventually lose them a game over the course of four or five games (assuming theyíre playing against good players with good armies, of course).
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Old November 9th, 2019, 01:40 PM
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Re: Casters of Valhalla

Stinger Drain is basically the perfect example of unfavorably asymmetric bet. You win more ofter than you lose, but when you lose you lose way way more than you gain, more than enough to make up for how often you are winning. Like picking up quarters in front of a steamroller.

As mentioned before, it's really only an option when you want to introduce variance into the game, like if you think you need the quarters so bad it's fine to go in front of the steamroller to pick them up since you'll die if you don't. But in reality I think even in those cases you probably have a higher winrate if you just hope you roll a lot of skulls without the Drain. The Stinger Drain math you can do shows it as unfavorable even when you don't account for the lost Stinger in your startzone.
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Old November 9th, 2019, 07:57 PM
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Re: Casters of Valhalla

I think itís at least worthy of looking into and doing some experimenting with. Ever since the Stingers came out the notion has always been to seldom Drain, and almost every person Iíve see with Stingers seldom does, including myself. But then thereís Hendal, who is like the only person who Drains often. And he wins. A lot. So I think thereís something to it.

But Iím always attracted to aggressive and sometimes swingy play, so thereís that. Maybe Iím getting ahead of myself.
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