Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

[Master Roshi]

We need to find Joe Rogan's next guest and blackmail them into promoting AoA on the podcast

[brak88]

Originally Posted by Master Roshi

We need to find Joe Rogan's next guest and blackmail them into promoting AoA on the podcast

I feel a baked out of his mind Joe Rogan would enjoy this game immensely and be a solid untapped market. "If this hits 20,000 backers, everything will have a protective coating to eliminate the possibly of beer and pretzel stains? I'll buy 20 bro."

But you know, a luxury brewery beer and mall pretzels with real cheese.

[Master Roshi]

Originally Posted by brak88

I feel a baked out of his mind Joe Rogan would enjoy this game immensely and be a solid untapped market. "If this hits 20,000 backers, everything will have a protective coating to eliminate the possibly of beer and pretzel stains? I'll buy 20 bro."

But you know, a luxury brewery beer and mall pretzels with real cheese.

When are we getting a Joe Rogan Vs. Joey Diaz Heroscape match?

[S1R_ART0R1US]

Originally Posted by Killometer

Have you revisted this at all? It seems to have a pretty clearly defined curve, and I wonder if any other models have a more accurate r value.

I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

[randum]

Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US

I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

Well since we're at the halfway point, we'll see if the 3rd order polynomial fits well pretty soon. *fingers crossed*

[rudyvalentine]

Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US

I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

That would be incredible. I would love to see that!

They hinted at another video with “cooler” people playing. No idea who that could be but would be awesome if it got some big exposure toward the end of this.

[Grungebob]

Cooler people than CVN? Pffft, doubt it!

[Hogg]

Originally Posted by rudyvalentine

Seeing this raise around $1.3 million and fail would be a head scratcher to me. I guess it really is just too expensive to be viable if that’s the case, but to generate that much in 45 days with all the noted miscues (launching with an outline of a campaign) and lack of traditional crowdfunding exposure that comes with kickstarter, is a pretty solid response and should indicate there’s a market if they can figure out how to package it. I don’t think they will pursue it though if it doesn’t fund. At least not now.

They were 600 backers short of the Rancor and they didn't produce it. That campaign had similar missteps that would have generated 600 more backers if they had shown color pictures instead of greyscale renders too.

[boromir96]

Originally Posted by Hogg

They were 600 backers short of the Rancor and they didn't produce it. That campaign had similar missteps that would have generated 600 more backers if they had shown color pictures instead of greyscale renders too.

Worth noting that the Rancor (like most Haslab items) was a one off toy, not the launch of a product line that could be wildly successful. Seems like it could be worth them fronting some of the cost. I don’t think that will actually happen though.

[GromBloodboy]

Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US

I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

The good ole bias-variance trade-off at work... If only regression models were good at extrapolation rather than interpolation.

[Killometer]

Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US

I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

And I though the linear projection was excessively optimistic. XD

[Nukatha]

I feel like a power law is the way to go here.