Heroscapers
Go Back   Heroscapers > Age of Annihilation > News & Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #661  
Old October 24th, 2022, 01:39 PM
Master Roshi's Avatar
Master Roshi Master Roshi is offline
 
Join Date: April 7, 2017
Location: USA - CA - San Diego
Posts: 385
Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

We need to find Joe Rogan's next guest and blackmail them into promoting AoA on the podcast

Me when I roll zero shields with Deathwalker 9000:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6-teNJoMrX4
Reply With Quote
  #662  
Old October 24th, 2022, 01:50 PM
brak88's Avatar
brak88 brak88 is offline
Upset City Baby!
 
Join Date: September 21, 2019
Location: usa-ks-overland park
Posts: 307
brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness brak88 wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Master Roshi View Post
We need to find Joe Rogan's next guest and blackmail them into promoting AoA on the podcast
I feel a baked out of his mind Joe Rogan would enjoy this game immensely and be a solid untapped market. "If this hits 20,000 backers, everything will have a protective coating to eliminate the possibly of beer and pretzel stains? I'll buy 20 bro."

But you know, a luxury brewery beer and mall pretzels with real cheese.

Upset City Baby.
Reply With Quote
  #663  
Old October 24th, 2022, 01:58 PM
Master Roshi's Avatar
Master Roshi Master Roshi is offline
 
Join Date: April 7, 2017
Location: USA - CA - San Diego
Posts: 385
Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness Master Roshi wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by brak88 View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Master Roshi View Post
We need to find Joe Rogan's next guest and blackmail them into promoting AoA on the podcast
I feel a baked out of his mind Joe Rogan would enjoy this game immensely and be a solid untapped market. "If this hits 20,000 backers, everything will have a protective coating to eliminate the possibly of beer and pretzel stains? I'll buy 20 bro."

But you know, a luxury brewery beer and mall pretzels with real cheese.



When are we getting a Joe Rogan Vs. Joey Diaz Heroscape match?

Me when I roll zero shields with Deathwalker 9000:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6-teNJoMrX4
Reply With Quote
  #664  
Old October 24th, 2022, 05:12 PM
S1R_ART0R1US's Avatar
S1R_ART0R1US S1R_ART0R1US is offline
Under Taro's Banner
 
Join Date: October 15, 2007
Location: Santa Barbara, CA
Posts: 2,440
Images: 31
Blog Entries: 1
S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness S1R_ART0R1US wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Killometer View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
So far it's a simple linear regression.
Have you revisted this at all? It seems to have a pretty clearly defined curve, and I wonder if any other models have a more accurate r value.
I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.
Reply With Quote
  #665  
Old October 24th, 2022, 05:35 PM
randum's Avatar
randum randum is offline
 
Join Date: June 29, 2021
Location: USA - WA - Spokane
Posts: 35
randum is surprisingly tart
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

Well since we're at the halfway point, we'll see if the 3rd order polynomial fits well pretty soon. *fingers crossed*
Reply With Quote
  #666  
Old October 24th, 2022, 06:04 PM
rudyvalentine rudyvalentine is offline
 
Join Date: January 17, 2008
Location: USA - PA - Indiana
Posts: 691
Images: 1
rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness rudyvalentine wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Killometer View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
So far it's a simple linear regression.
Have you revisted this at all? It seems to have a pretty clearly defined curve, and I wonder if any other models have a more accurate r value.
I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.
That would be incredible. I would love to see that!

They hinted at another video with “cooler” people playing. No idea who that could be but would be awesome if it got some big exposure toward the end of this.
Reply With Quote
  #667  
Old October 24th, 2022, 06:11 PM
Grungebob's Avatar
Grungebob Grungebob is offline
Mighty Mouse!
 
Join Date: May 3, 2006
Location: TX - Dallas
Posts: 10,638
Images: 33
Blog Entries: 5
Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer Grungebob is a wielder of the Ban Hammer
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Cooler people than CVN? Pffft, doubt it!

ďHeroscapers is too old for that crap.Ē
~IamBatman


"Hahahah! You losers! I told you so!!"
~Clancampbell
Reply With Quote
  #668  
Old October 24th, 2022, 06:13 PM
Hogg's Avatar
Hogg Hogg is offline
 
Join Date: September 3, 2006
Location: Midgard - North Carolina
Posts: 3,908
Blog Entries: 1
Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death! Hogg is hot lava death!
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by rudyvalentine View Post
Seeing this raise around $1.3 million and fail would be a head scratcher to me. I guess it really is just too expensive to be viable if thatís the case, but to generate that much in 45 days with all the noted miscues (launching with an outline of a campaign) and lack of traditional crowdfunding exposure that comes with kickstarter, is a pretty solid response and should indicate thereís a market if they can figure out how to package it. I donít think they will pursue it though if it doesnít fund. At least not now.
They were 600 backers short of the Rancor and they didn't produce it. That campaign had similar missteps that would have generated 600 more backers if they had shown color pictures instead of greyscale renders too.
Reply With Quote
  #669  
Old October 24th, 2022, 06:20 PM
boromir96's Avatar
boromir96 boromir96 is offline
OHS S40 and VCheese #2 Champion
 
Join Date: November 20, 2010
Location: USA-IL-Peoria
Posts: 2,621
boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla boromir96 is inducted into the Halls of Valhalla
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hogg View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by rudyvalentine View Post
Seeing this raise around $1.3 million and fail would be a head scratcher to me. I guess it really is just too expensive to be viable if thatís the case, but to generate that much in 45 days with all the noted miscues (launching with an outline of a campaign) and lack of traditional crowdfunding exposure that comes with kickstarter, is a pretty solid response and should indicate thereís a market if they can figure out how to package it. I donít think they will pursue it though if it doesnít fund. At least not now.
They were 600 backers short of the Rancor and they didn't produce it. That campaign had similar missteps that would have generated 600 more backers if they had shown color pictures instead of greyscale renders too.
Worth noting that the Rancor (like most Haslab items) was a one off toy, not the launch of a product line that could be wildly successful. Seems like it could be worth them fronting some of the cost. I donít think that will actually happen though.

Tournament Record:96-39 Online record:62-32
Peoria IL Monthly Tournaments

Reply With Quote
  #670  
Old October 24th, 2022, 06:56 PM
GromBloodboy's Avatar
GromBloodboy GromBloodboy is offline
Creamed by Corn
 
Join Date: May 14, 2006
Location: USA - MI - Metro Detroit
Posts: 2,671
Images: 14
GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness GromBloodboy wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Killometer View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
So far it's a simple linear regression.
Have you revisted this at all? It seems to have a pretty clearly defined curve, and I wonder if any other models have a more accurate r value.
I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.
The good ole bias-variance trade-off at work... If only regression models were good at extrapolation rather than interpolation.

"I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones." ~Albert Einstein

Tourney Record:17-10 (08/02/11)
Reply With Quote
  #671  
Old October 24th, 2022, 08:34 PM
Killometer's Avatar
Killometer Killometer is offline
Is a Tingly Soldier of Valhalla
 
Join Date: March 26, 2009
Location: Ben Lomond, CA
Posts: 5,880
Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death! Killometer is hot lava death!
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Killometer View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by S1R_ART0R1US View Post
So far it's a simple linear regression.
Have you revisted this at all? It seems to have a pretty clearly defined curve, and I wonder if any other models have a more accurate r value.
I just shifted it to a 3rd order polynomial, which fits quite well. It also now forecasts that AoA will fund and will actually hit three stretch goals. I'm more skeptical than the model though, because it is essentially assuming a symmetrical funding curve.

And I though the linear projection was excessively optimistic. XD

121-94-0 (4/13/09-11/26/22)
32-16-0 (10/17/09-7/21/12)
Reply With Quote
  #672  
Old October 24th, 2022, 08:54 PM
Nukatha's Avatar
Nukatha Nukatha is offline
Most Effort : Least Points
 
Join Date: August 24, 2007
Location: Scans cannot detect User Location...
Posts: 3,519
Images: 46
Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness Nukatha wears ripped pants of awesomeness
Re: Age of Annihilation - Backer Trend and Discussion

I feel like a power law is the way to go here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aleksandr I. Solzhenitsyn
The simple step of a courageous individual is not to take part in the lie.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Go Back   Heroscapers > Age of Annihilation > News & Discussion
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Age of Annihilation Backing Page Live Thine dude News & Discussion 0 October 2nd, 2022 02:06 AM
MLB Discussion Havokscry Other Media 35 July 23rd, 2008 11:38 AM
Total Annihilation SmoG Battle Reports 2 February 12th, 2008 05:06 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:52 AM.

Heroscape background footer

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2023, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
User Alert System provided by Advanced User Tagging (Lite) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2023 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.