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Old July 7th, 2009, 01:54 PM
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Re: The Book of Acolarh

Quote:
Originally Posted by fomox View Post
So, an Aubrien Archer who wants to disengage while in the aura has a 61.24% chance of surviving instead of only a 50% chance.
I find a slightly different chance of survival. If you need 3 out of the 10 dice in order for the aura to work, then we are looking at a binomial function where n = 10, k = 3, and p = 1/6.
I get binomial(10, 3, 1/6) = 0.155 which gives the archer a 65.50% chance of survival. The binomail function is defined here

Did you get the 11.24 from a table somewhere?

Edit: Actually, if we take into account that you could roll more than 3 symbols, then the chance goes up to 22.48%



Last edited by Obsidian; July 7th, 2009 at 02:02 PM. Reason: Recalculate
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