I dunno, I preferred rewatching our other recent 10PU matchup more
Obviously a very tough map/matchup combo for the 4th. H&D Swamp is kind of a nightmare for me because at best I can grab one small hill, and even that is extremely difficult to reinforce.
I appreciate Dysole's attempt to defend me, but the second Alistair turn was a mistake. His initial position was an effective roadblock, so moving up more 4th and getting some potshots would have been a better option than throwing Alistair into a position that ultimately didn't do much for me. If I don't move Alistair, then vegie has much less attractive options for attacks on the next OM. I wouldn't really say MBS's ability to ping entered into my thinking on making that move; I would have been more than happy to trade MBS shots with 4th shots if it had come to that.
On the other hand, I do think going for Raelin when she moved up is the best choice. The chance of Raelin going down quickly is low, but it's still the best chance I have. Killing enough chasers to prevent attacks wasn't realistic in the short run on this map, so it's really just a question of what's the most reliable path to killing 9+ chasers. I think the correct answer there is an early Raelin death.
To put it another way, I like the chances of Raelin dying in 5 shots and then killing a bunch of 3 defense chasers in 2 or 3 turns, better than I like the chances of grinding though those same chasers in 4 or 5 turns when they have 5 defense the whole time.