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There's only a 0.0086707649579% chance...

Posted January 20th, 2010 at 06:17 PM by Sujoah
Updated January 20th, 2010 at 09:40 PM by Sujoah
Well, I had a Deathwalker roll today. Sort of.

I had an Elite Onyx Viper, with height, and my dad had Tandros Kreel, attacking from range. I get a total of eleven dice, because Evasive 8 and height gives me a total of nine more. He rolls, gets one skull. I roll, get two blanks, and nine skulls.

The above percentage is about the chances of it happening. The actual fraction (without the 3/4 chance that Tandros would roll a skull) is 2048/177147.

I hate you, Probability.

I also ended up losing the game.
Total Comments 4

Comments

Old
Sup3rS0n1c's Avatar
Wow. That's like losing an Obsidian Guard to a lava roll. :P
Posted January 20th, 2010 at 06:29 PM by Sup3rS0n1c Sup3rS0n1c is offline
Old
dok's Avatar
Well, really, you should consider the chance of the EOV getting exactly one shield while Tandros rolls all-skulls, too.

So the actual percentage chance is 2.45%, not .8% See, you weren't that unlucky!
Posted January 20th, 2010 at 06:30 PM by dok dok is offline
Old
chas's Avatar
Its easier to roll dice if you're under 12!
Posted January 21st, 2010 at 07:31 AM by chas chas is offline
Old
Sylvano the Wasabus's Avatar
My nine year old can roll 80% skulls or shields at the right time almost all the time. I do it occasionally but it's always at the wrong time...
I need to take that kid to Vegas.
Posted January 21st, 2010 at 12:22 PM by Sylvano the Wasabus Sylvano the Wasabus is offline
 
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